What is the primary distinction between Probable and Possible?

The distinction between "Probable" and "Possible" is fundamentally tied to the likelihood of an event occurring. When an event is described as "Probable," it indicates a higher level of certainty, specifically that there is more than a 50% chance that it will happen. This suggests that sufficient evidence or circumstances significantly support the occurrence of the event.

On the other hand, "Possible" encompasses a broader range; any event that is possible might have a likelihood of occurrence at 50% or less. The term indicates that while something can happen, the evidence or circumstances do not lend as strong of a probability as in the case of "Probable."

This differentiation is crucial in fields such as fire investigation, where establishing the likelihood of certain scenarios based on evidence can impact conclusions drawn during an investigation. Probable outcomes typically require a greater weight of correlating evidence than outcomes deemed only possible.